Armor/AFV: What If?
For those who like to build hypothetical or alternate history versions of armor/AFVs.
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German armor in Korean War
Bravo1102
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 11:50 AM UTC
How about that new Dragon Jagdtiger with Pak 80 parked on an inclined ramp with the gun in full battery? Very nice alternative to an M40 diorama?
deichevster
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 05:00 PM UTC
I think German armor in Korea would be unlikely, even for this already unlikely scenario. The German industry would have already been obliterated by the time of the peace, which also puts under question if they would be able to stop the Soviet advance. Sure, more resources would be available, but I think it would only delay the inevitable. For all the fawning German heavy tanks get, even if we forget about their technical shortcomings, the small number produced would not be able to hold the numerically superior forces on the other side. It's all good to talk about E-50, Panther 2 and so on, but at the same time the IS-3 would be produced in high numbers, and the first T-54s would be appearing. The only way Germany would stand would be to have the western Allies join the fight against the USSR for some reason, insert your own idea here. Thus we wouldn't have a war in Korea, but a new world war in Europe. If I can give a real life example, when Bulgaria surrendered to the USSR, the Bulgarian army was rearmed with Soviet tech and was sent off to fight the Axis all the way to Hungary. So realistically (haha!) you'd see American tanks serving with the reorganized Wehrmacht, if Germany wasn't completely demobilized and occupied by the Western Allies in the first place, which sounds more likely.
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 05:00 PM UTC
1. I find it utterly pointless to discuss the legimitacy of "what if" train of thougts as such. The limitations to that kind of exercize are obivous to everyone. If you're not into what if scenarios, just keep out of it, plain and simple. It'll be more fun for everyone...

2. Are we still talking of a Korean war from 1951 to 1954? Because some are acting like its in 1945 and Germany in a state like let's say May 1945. If the war turned into a one-front war again and went on another few years or ended up in a permanent stalemate with the Soviet Union, there would have been enormous technical developments in the meantime.

IMHO, anything like a Tiger II, panzer IV chassis, Hetzer chassis etc. would likely have been obsolete. You have to look more at the E-designs like E-50, E-25, E-10 maybe and their derivatives. An E-75 would probably have been to heavy/unsuited, the Jagdtiger the least of candidates to be deployed. Why ship a heavily armored 70 ton direct fire monster thousands of miles only to use as artillery? Germany had good artillery concepts in the making, and by 1951 at least some would have come to fruition.
Also, you will have to disregard the referred to unrealiability of e.g. the panther drive train. It's like constantly assuming Germany would constantly make poor choices and be unable to iron out problems. Btw, aking te panther, most of its initial design problems were solved by the end of the war... I'm off to a break and will come back later with some comments.
mmeier
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 05:28 PM UTC
This "what if" diverges before the final bombing raids against the infrastructure and misses JCS 1067 as well. This leaves german industrie in a decend state.

With the war over engineers WILL set out to correct the "well known problems" of their vehicles. So for me a "Panther II" with a fixed final drive (The one from the Tiger I was proposed), the Panther-F turret (fixing the observation problem) and likely "live" tracks (increasing track life) will make an appearance. Either "HL234" engine with fuel injection or the Maybach diesel as well to increase range.

Reason:

+ The basic plattform is sound and rugged
+ It is optimized for mass production
+ It is fast and agile while not too heavy
+ It has a complete familie either in production (Berge) or designed (Coelian AA, an Self propelled howitzer)
+ It can take guns up to 105mm

We will also see "Katzchen" APC/IFV. Simply because germans had good experience with mechanised infantrie and bad ones with lack of overhead cover.

As for Jagdpanzers based on PIV and 38t: Those where stopgap vehicles with serious problems. And with a "fixed" Panther building more Jagdpanther may be a better solution.

Post WWII the Bundeswehr tried to have "two platforms only" (Leopard I and Marder) for all their jobs. Did not work out but mainly due to time delays (KaJaPa and Jaguar tankhunters diverged from Marder before the final set of prototypes) or project termination (SpH on Leopard I chassis). So something along that lines is not too unrealistic here either.
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 06:15 PM UTC

Quoted Text

This "what if" diverges before the final bombing raids against the infrastructure and misses JCS 1067 as well. This leaves german industrie in a decend state.

With the war over engineers WILL set out to correct the "well known problems" of their vehicles. So for me a "Panther II" with a fixed final drive (The one from the Tiger I was proposed), the Panther-F turret (fixing the observation problem) and likely "live" tracks (increasing track life) will make an appearance. Either "HL234" engine with fuel injection or the Maybach diesel as well to increase range.

Reason:

+ The basic plattform is sound and rugged
+ It is optimized for mass production
+ It is fast and agile while not too heavy
+ It has a complete familie either in production (Berge) or designed (Coelian AA, an Self propelled howitzer)
+ It can take guns up to 105mm

We will also see "Katzchen" APC/IFV. Simply because germans had good experience with mechanised infantrie and bad ones with lack of overhead cover.

As for Jagdpanzers based on PIV and 38t: Those where stopgap vehicles with serious problems. And with a "fixed" Panther building more Jagdpanther may be a better solution.

Post WWII the Bundeswehr tried to have "two platforms only" (Leopard I and Marder) for all their jobs. Did not work out but mainly due to time delays (KaJaPa and Jaguar tankhunters diverged from Marder before the final set of prototypes) or project termination (SpH on Leopard I chassis). So something along that lines is not too unrealistic here either.



+1, a sound analysis & "prognosis" IMO. Maybe with a little twist regarding war time production: tank production significantly declined only very late in the war, in spring 1945. The industry recovered very well from the bombings, even in war time. production reached a record high in 1944, when the bombing campaigns were well underway. Even in 1945, roughly 5000 tanks/ tank destroyers were built, a 10 % share of the overall wartime production of 50.000 (numbers based on wikipedia). Thus the assumption that Germany would have been in no state for mass production after the war is unfounded. If it happened in reality, than for political reasons and the dismantlement of facilities as part of "war bounty".
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 06:21 PM UTC
Please tell me if I'm annoying you, but I love what-ifs
Another interesting option worth digging into is that of early guided anti-tank missiles, like an enhanced Rotkäppchen and the like: http://www.wehrmacht-history.com/luftwaffe/missiles/x7-rotkaeppchen-anti-tank-missile.htm

mmeier
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 06:41 PM UTC
Another question:

The French generally liked the Panther despite it's shortcomings and used (sometimes due to misunderstandings) quite a few concepts in early post-WWII designs. Will they buy (or licence produce) "Panther II" in this timeline? Similar to "MBT 60" that produced Leo I and AMX-30, both tanks heavily influenced by the Panther.

mmeier
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 06:43 PM UTC

Quoted Text

Please tell me if I'm annoying you, but I love what-ifs
Another interesting option worth digging into is that of early guided anti-tank missiles, like an enhanced Rotkäppchen and the like: http://www.wehrmacht-history.com/luftwaffe/missiles/x7-rotkaeppchen-anti-tank-missile.htm




For some ideas and concepts:

"Red Gambit" (series of novels)

is quite useable and a decend "rainy weekend" read
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 06:47 PM UTC

Quoted Text

Another question:

The French generally liked the Panther despite it's shortcomings and used (sometimes due to misunderstandings) quite a few concepts in early post-WWII designs. Will they buy (or licence produce) "Panther II" in this timeline? Similar to "MBT 60" that produced Leo I and AMX-30, both tanks heavily influenced by the Panther.




AS has been mentioned before, France would likely have had a "grudge" against Germany. Licencing could have been a means of reparation, along with other things. UNderstandable national pride and strategic concerns might still have prevented the French from just relyiing on a foreign (former enemy's) design.
Chuck4
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 09:39 PM UTC
The French liked a lot of the design concepts incorporated into the panther, but I think they were not impressed at all with the practical execution once they had some experience operating captured panthers.

In this scenario, it seems likely the French would study the panther with great interest. However, I doubt the French would forgo an opportunity to keep their own design team up to date by simply licensing the German design. They would likely require their own team to incorporate all the design aspects they like, but put them into an indigenous design that would be clearly superior to their way of thinking.
Bravo1102
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 10:19 PM UTC
Considering that the Canadians were re-equipped when they arrived in Korea any Germans coming might have too. So you would have seen Germans in Shermans. Considering how far the German equipment would have to go would it have been worth while to send any heavy equipment? Maybe a contingent of armor for national pride?

Funny how we keep mentioning France forgetting that the policy in the early 1950s was to get France to rearm against the Soviets and contain Communism in Indochina and specifically not to involve them in Korea. See especially the book Approaching Vietnam
panzerconor
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Posted: Tuesday, January 24, 2017 - 10:27 PM UTC
Brilliant! We're all back on track.
Vicious
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 01:29 AM UTC
I think the problem on the production capacity of Germany does not exist, a good part in the 44 was still in reasonable condition and with logistics and allied raw materials production could return to 100% in a flash

I imagine that the Germans Tanks are left in ETO rather than brought on the other side of the world but rather the allies bring only the most advanced weapons, V1, V2, Me-262 and more, the Wundervaffen for air, Land and Sea with the Allied support could develop much more 'quickly

The list is long and there is plenty of choice ...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wunderwaffe
hugohuertas
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 02:19 AM UTC

Quoted Text


Quoted Text

This "what if" diverges before the final bombing raids against the infrastructure and misses JCS 1067 as well. This leaves german industrie in a decend state.

With the war over engineers WILL set out to correct the "well known problems" of their vehicles. So for me a "Panther II" with a fixed final drive (The one from the Tiger I was proposed), the Panther-F turret (fixing the observation problem) and likely "live" tracks (increasing track life) will make an appearance. Either "HL234" engine with fuel injection or the Maybach diesel as well to increase range.

Reason:

+ The basic plattform is sound and rugged
+ It is optimized for mass production
+ It is fast and agile while not too heavy
+ It has a complete familie either in production (Berge) or designed (Coelian AA, an Self propelled howitzer)
+ It can take guns up to 105mm

We will also see "Katzchen" APC/IFV. Simply because germans had good experience with mechanised infantrie and bad ones with lack of overhead cover.

As for Jagdpanzers based on PIV and 38t: Those where stopgap vehicles with serious problems. And with a "fixed" Panther building more Jagdpanther may be a better solution.

Post WWII the Bundeswehr tried to have "two platforms only" (Leopard I and Marder) for all their jobs. Did not work out but mainly due to time delays (KaJaPa and Jaguar tankhunters diverged from Marder before the final set of prototypes) or project termination (SpH on Leopard I chassis). So something along that lines is not too unrealistic here either.



+1, a sound analysis & "prognosis" IMO. Maybe with a little twist regarding war time production: tank production significantly declined only very late in the war, in spring 1945. The industry recovered very well from the bombings, even in war time. production reached a record high in 1944, when the bombing campaigns were well underway. Even in 1945, roughly 5000 tanks/ tank destroyers were built, a 10 % share of the overall wartime production of 50.000 (numbers based on wikipedia). Thus the assumption that Germany would have been in no state for mass production after the war is unfounded. If it happened in reality, than for political reasons and the dismantlement of facilities as part of "war bounty".





+2
mmeier
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 04:18 AM UTC

Quoted Text

The French liked a lot of the design concepts incorporated into the panther, but I think they were not impressed at all with the practical execution once they had some experience operating captured panthers.

In this scenario, it seems likely the French would study the panther with great interest. However, I doubt the French would forgo an opportunity to keep their own design team up to date by simply licensing the German design. They would likely require their own team to incorporate all the design aspects they like, but put them into an indigenous design that would be clearly superior to their way of thinking.



Spielberger has a french test report on the Panther in his book. Reads a bit like a car magazin checking the latest pony car. Basically the french did not like:

+ The final drives due to their short lifespan
+ Lack of an observation sight for the gunner (the target sight was praised)
+ Slow turret rotation and too weak turret drive

They only used HL230 equipped vehicles so the engine problem of the early Panthers (HL210 engine) was fixed and did not consider the tracks to big a problem (planning a mostly defence oriented operation back then). They had little problems with the "Schachtellaufwerk" (maybe due to the fact that operations in russian mud where not planned)

It is quite interesting to read even more so since the French used the Panther operationally post WWII in batallion strength.

===============

But yes, a "French" or "French modified" design may have emerged. Maybe a Panther chassis with an AMX-13 style turret (the french did build one for the AMX-50)

==============

As for holding a grudge: Yes, both nations where good at that since 1871 OTOH they agreed to try and build a common tank in 1957 (Talks came earlier) and went quite far before the separated. AND the program (unlike say MBT70) actually did produce two mass-produced tank families (AMX-30 and Leo 1)

And French concepts of a german re-armament (within the European Army) date back to 1950 (Pleven plan)
mmeier
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 04:27 AM UTC

Quoted Text

Considering that the Canadians were re-equipped when they arrived in Korea any Germans coming might have too. So you would have seen Germans in Shermans. Considering how far the German equipment would have to go would it have been worth while to send any heavy equipment? Maybe a contingent of armor for national pride?

Funny how we keep mentioning France forgetting that the policy in the early 1950s was to get France to rearm against the Soviets and contain Communism in Indochina and specifically not to involve them in Korea. See especially the book Approaching Vietnam



I mentioned France mainly because they where the other Panther user (IIRC they used it longer than the germans) and wrote some detailed reports on it's pros and cons based on real life experience with late models operated by fully trained crews.

A second reason was that post WWII both nations agreed to build a tank that was basically a "conscript-proof Panther" and did build two tanks that where/are thereby "validating" many of the Panthers basic concepts in a vehicle that was basically buildable by 1945 technology (Later models like the Leo 1A4/A5 where not nor is a Gepard(1))

(1) I still wonder how long it would have taken for a german tank crew to combine a Coelian AA tank (had it gone into service) with a "Lichtenstein" or "Berlin" radar from a damaged night fighter...
mmeier
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 04:30 AM UTC

Quoted Text


Quoted Text

Another question:

The French generally liked the Panther despite it's shortcomings and used (sometimes due to misunderstandings) quite a few concepts in early post-WWII designs. Will they buy (or licence produce) "Panther II" in this timeline? Similar to "MBT 60" that produced Leo I and AMX-30, both tanks heavily influenced by the Panther.




AS has been mentioned before, France would likely have had a "grudge" against Germany. Licencing could have been a means of reparation, along with other things. UNderstandable national pride and strategic concerns might still have prevented the French from just relyiing on a foreign (former enemy's) design.



Licensing as reparation would work. Actually did happen post WWI. And post WWII France used Maybach engines in their AMX-50. Maybe with a complete production line set up in France to remove the "depending on another country" element

Or maybe source RR Meteor engines. Does one have a comparison in dimensions between a Meteor and a HL230? Would it fit a Panther (that has a rather compact engine room IIRC)
hugohuertas
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 05:05 AM UTC

Quoted Text

Considering that the Canadians were re-equipped when they arrived in Korea any Germans coming might have too. So you would have seen Germans in Shermans. Considering how far the German equipment would have to go would it have been worth while to send any heavy equipment? Maybe a contingent of armor for national pride?




You may have a point here, but we should not forget that the Canadian Special Force was a "purpose-built" brigade -roughly composed by 3 infantry battalions, 1 regiment of artillery, 1 field ambulance, 1 transport company, 1 infantry workshop, and 2 field repair units- intended to be sent ASAP to the TO, so it is not surprising that most of its heavy equipment was provided by the US -like the M4A3E8 tanks-.

OTOH, what I think that Hans-Hermann is proposing here is a theoretical "full-strength" German force.
If rushing it into battle was not an urgent need, we may assume that it could be transported by sea carrying all the heavy machinery, including its own tanks and support vehicles, those that the crews were trained and familiarized with...
From this point on, we can discuss what kind of material -tanks and stuff- should be available in this WhatIf scenario, after a completely different situation in Europe.

My personal point of view is that every single available German unit would be dedicated to face the soviets in ETO.
But this is just my humble opinion, and we all know that politicians don't necessary act according to what reason suggests...
Another .002 to this "figment"
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 05:44 AM UTC

Quoted Text


My personal point of view is that every single available German unit would be dedicated to face the soviets in ETO.
But this is just my humble opinion, and we all know that politicians don't necessary act according to what reason suggests...
Another .002 to this "figment"



There was talk of a stalemate in the east in the opening post. If it has lasted long enough, meaning that no or little fighting actually occurs, Korea could be used as a training ground to get the crews up to full war time standard... Not to speak of experimenting with new concepts and equipment.

AFAIK, German doctrine was interlaced with the technological and tactical possiblities of their equipment. Switching to entirely different euiqpment wouldn't go well with that.

Regarding vehicle options, I was thinking Schwere Wehrmachtsschlepper with Nebelwerfer on top.
Bravo1102
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 06:00 AM UTC
Another consideration, since historically many of the soldiers in French Indochina were in fact Germans, to the point of whole units being recruited from POWS, would the French have pushed for German troops there rather than Korea? Also would the Pentagon have desired Germany to stay out of what was basically their show for similar reasons that the French were willingly excluded?

American leaders were sick of DeGaulle and leary after the trouble they had with the French in World War II. Would they have not allowed the Germans for similar reasons, or would they have welcomed them in a show of "all is forgiven, best friends forever " ?

This would open up German armor in SE Asian jungles. Always wondered how the panzers would have adopted to tropical operations. Just the same as I once considered doing a Japanese Tiger I.

With all that out of the way how would German armor be finished and marked in this war? Accepted a E-50 or even an automotively perfected Panther (Korea was a come as you are party, so maybe the newest stuff wouldn't have been sent. Also consider with the winding down of the European War a slowing of development or even partial disarmament as a show of goodwill?)

Or say the E-50 was ready on a timetable similar to the Centurion and E-50 sent to show off the newest equipment in the best light of new found comraderie. Markings and colors? Possible composition of the expedition? A Panzer Grenadier and two infantry divisions? Or even just infantry with an attached assault gun battalion rather than actual panzers? (Given the impression it's not a tank war)

Willing to consider all options here.
phantom8747
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 07:18 PM UTC
Interesting reading,keep going.
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#051
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 08:30 PM UTC

Quoted Text

Now to the technical side....assuming that Germany was allied to the Western Allies, German designs and research would not have suffered from the same shortages of rare raw materials like what actually occured during the war.



Concur. Flight testing of the He 162s at Wright Field led to the conclusion that more of its technology should be incorporated into Allied designs. With access to material and safe from bombing, German propulsion development probably would have benefited as the Merlin did when being manufactured by Packard. The engine is the key to any successful design; there are aircraft with excellent engines that failed due to instability problems and yet an adage in aerospace engineering is and airframe is only as good as, and never better than, the engine that powers it.
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 08:30 PM UTC

Quoted Text

Another consideration, since historically many of the soldiers in French Indochina were in fact Germans, to the point of whole units being recruited from POWS, would the French have pushed for German troops there rather than Korea? Also would the Pentagon have desired Germany to stay out of what was basically their show for similar reasons that the French were willingly excluded?



1. Where would the French have gotten their POWs from? If this what if really kicks in in July 1944, there basically were no German POWs in French hands...

2. If their had been any number of German POWs in French custody, don't you think they would have been released by the time the two countries joined forces? AFAIK, the Germans fighting in Indochina did so for the foreign legion (read "mercernary unit under French state control"). ALl those German and former foreign (SS) vets who only knew fighting and thus enrolled with the French in Indochina probably would have kept fighting for the Germans, if they could.
Bravo1102
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 10:25 PM UTC

Quoted Text


Quoted Text

Another consideration, since historically many of the soldiers in French Indochina were in fact Germans, to the point of whole units being recruited from POWS, would the French have pushed for German troops there rather than Korea? Also would the Pentagon have desired Germany to stay out of what was basically their show for similar reasons that the French were willingly excluded?



1. Where would the French have gotten their POWs from? If this what if really kicks in in July 1944, there basically were no German POWs in French hands...

2. If their had been any number of German POWs in French custody, don't you think they would have been released by the time the two countries joined forces? AFAIK, the Germans fighting in Indochina did so for the foreign legion (read "mercernary unit under French state control"). ALl those German and former foreign (SS) vets who only knew fighting and thus enrolled with the French in Indochina probably would have kept fighting for the Germans, if they could.



I was referencing the actual history not the counterfactual scenario. Since the French Foreign Legion recruited so many German veterans historically because the French were reluctant to send their own troops, in our counterfactual scenario the French might have wanted the German army with them in Indochina and not wasted in Korea. Keep your friends close and your enemies closer?

And I always wanted to do a jungle German tank.

Additionally, the Pentagon might have gone with this to appease the French and to keep Korea an all-American show (no DeGaulle, no Krauts) Since the war in Europe ended so early does that mean Patton is still alive?
Bonaparte84
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Posted: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 - 11:10 PM UTC

Quoted Text



I was referencing the actual history not the counterfactual scenario. Since the French Foreign Legion recruited so many German veterans historically because the French were reluctant to send their own troops, in our counterfactual scenario the French might have wanted the German army with them in Indochina and not wasted in Korea. Keep your friends close and your enemies closer?

And I always wanted to do a jungle German tank.

Additionally, the Pentagon might have gone with this to appease the French and to keep Korea an all-American show (no DeGaulle, no Krauts) Since the war in Europe ended so early does that mean Patton is still alive?



Sorry, you had me confused there Could totally picture the "Dirlewanger" pick up the guerilla fight in Indochina... Tanks not so much, but APCs maybe? Pumas?

Pumas, has anyone mentioned Pumas so far? They were a good design and could have lived on until the 50ies, couldn't they?